Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002464 0.002621 0.002787 0.002980 0.003197 0.003437 0.003723
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002268 0.002488 0.002736 0.003042 0.003414 0.003860 0.004449
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002097 0.002351 0.002650 0.003037 0.003537 0.004182 0.005117
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001947 0.002217 0.002546 0.002987 0.003586 0.004406 0.005697
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001877 0.002172 0.002541 0.003056 0.003791 0.004871 0.006753
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001812 0.002124 0.002525 0.003103 0.003967 0.005322 0.007943
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001723 0.002036 0.002447 0.003053 0.003989 0.005527 0.008764
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001629 0.001937 0.002345 0.002957 0.003924 0.005572 0.009270
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001575 0.001887 0.002306 0.002948 0.003994 0.005866 0.010482
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001474 0.001768 0.002165 0.002774 0.003772 0.005573 0.010094
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001440 0.001739 0.002148 0.002788 0.003869 0.005916 0.011611
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001422 0.001731 0.002160 0.002847 0.004048 0.006468 0.014226
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001380 0.001688 0.002122 0.002827 0.004093 0.006764 0.016413
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001357 0.001673 0.002123 0.002872 0.004267 0.007418 0.021310
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001322 0.001638 0.002093 0.002863 0.004335 0.007838 0.026249
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001281 0.001592 0.002044 0.002817 0.004321 0.008036 0.030545
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001268 0.001587 0.002057 0.002878 0.004540 0.008995 0.048642
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001251 0.001575 0.002058 0.002920 0.004724 0.009958 0.088942
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001217 0.001536 0.002014 0.002875 0.004706 0.010218 0.129287
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001176 0.001485 0.001950 0.002788 0.004582 0.010046 0.146402
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001153 0.001462 0.001929 0.002780 0.004642 0.010621 0.393531
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001101 0.001392 0.001830 0.002623 0.004328 0.009597 0.168560
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001086 0.001378 0.001822 0.002636 0.004429 0.010322 0.854800